11/26  Precios de cierre/ revisados 11/27/2024 10:40 GMT | 11/26 OPEC Basket $72.96 –$0.73 cents 11/26 Mexico Basket (MME)  $64.34 –$0.50 cents 10/30 Venezuela Basket (Merey) $58.30   +$3.39 cents  11/26 NYMEX Light Sweet Crude $68.77 -$0.17 cents | 11/26 ICE Brent  $72.811 -$0.20 cents | 11/26 Gasoline RBOB NYC Harbor $1.99 -0.14% | 11/26 Heating oil NY Harbor $2.24 +0.2 % | 11/26 NYMEX Natural Gas $3.43 +1.8 % | 11/22 Active U.S. Rig Count (Oil & Gas)  583- 1 | 11/27 USD/MXN Mexican Peso 20.69090 (data live) 11/27 EUR/USD  1.0520 (data live) | 11/27 US/Bs. (Bolivar)  $46.75370000 (data BCV) | Source: WTRG/MSN/Bloomberg/MarketWatch/Reuters

I. Almeida and V. Dezem/Bloomberg -Don’t Mistake the Gas Meltdown for End to Europe’s Energy Crisis

An analogue gas meter outside a customer’s home in Danbury, U.K., on Thursday, Oct. 21, 2021.. European energy prices soared to fresh records amid worsening fears over supply, with U.K. natural gas futures exceeding the threshold of 300 pence a therm for the first time ever. Photographer: Chris Ratcliffe/Bloomberg

By Isis Almeida and Vanessa Dezem/Bloomberg

LONDON/FRANKFURT
EnergiesNet.com 12 29 2021

 Don’t let the recent meltdown in European natural gas prices fool you. The energy crunch of 2021 will last for years. 

That’s what futures traders are betting on, with spot prices dropping a lot more than forward contracts over the past week. The scale of the moves signal the flotilla of liquefied natural gas cargoes heading to Europe will only provide short-term relief, and prices will still be expensive all the way to March 2023.

Europe is facing an energy crisis, with Russia curbing supplies and nuclear outages in France straining power grids in the coldest months of the year. While more cargoes are landing in Europe for now, the fate of the market is still hanging on the approval of the controversial Nord Stream 2 pipeline, which President Vladimir Putin says could help cool this year’s 400% rally.

“Europe’s gas problem may not go away next year,” Andrew Hill, head of European gas analysis at BloombergNEF, said in a report on Wednesday. “Geopolitical issues and acrimony with Russia, particularly around the Nord Stream 2 pipeline, will increase the scope for Russia to limit flows to Europe in the first half of the year, and potentially much longer.”

Spot gas prices fell almost 40% over the past week, while losses for forward contracts were capped at about 30%.

By Isis Almeida and Vanessa Dezem from Bloomberg

bloomberg.com 12 29 2021

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