By Evan Ellis

Dear Colleague,

With this email, I would like to share with you my new work on the important victory by Santiago Pena and the Colorado Party in Paraguay’s national elections this Sunday.

I argue that the election highlights the strategic importance of Paraguay, currently at three “tipping points” with significant implications for the US and the Region: (1) the question of its future relations with Taiwan vs the PRC, (2) the management of the organized crime and corruption challenge, and (3) the nation’s relationship with the U.S.

I argue that it is a mistake to interpret the election as a “vote for continuity” in Paraguay, or a postponement of uncomfortable changes that a victory by the left-of-center Concertation coalition could have brought.

Rather, in this work, I seek to analyze how President Pena’s definition and navigation of his difficult political path as a capable pro-market technocrat, within the framework of the Colorado Party, institutional challenges and the illicit economy and choices regarding external relationships, will define his legacy, as well as the future of Paraguay and South America.

The English-language article is available here for download:

Quo Vadis Paraguay R Evan Ellis

716KB ∙ PDF file

Download

It is also available at the Global Americans website:

• https://theglobalamericans.org/2023/05/quo-vadis-paraguay/

Public Presentations, Podcasts and Radio Shows:

I would also like to share with you the links to my latest from my weekly on the John Batchelor Show, from his special ongoing series on Latin America, The New World Report. You may find these weekly podcasts to be a useful current analysis of key events in the region.

The latest episodes include:

• Paraguay, Part 1: April 26: https://audioboom.com/posts/8289039-1-2-newworldreport-paraguay-votes-latin-american-research-professor-evan-ellis-u-s-army-war
  
• Paraguay Part 2: April 26: https://audioboom.com/posts/8289041-2-2-newworldreport-paraguay-votes-latin-american-research-professor-evan-ellis-u-s-army-wa
  
• Colombia and Venezuela: April 26: https://audioboom.com/posts/8289042-newworldreport-venezuela-rehabilitation-in-colombia-latin-american-research-professor-evan-el
  
• Argentina: April 26: https://audioboom.com/posts/8289044-newworldreport-argentina-suffers-crushing-inflation-for-the-election-latin-american-research

Website for all Publications:

As always, at my professional website you can access the present, and all of my past publications, as well as select webinars and podcasts:

• https://revanellis.com/

Book on China-Latin America:

My latest book, China Engages Latin America: Distorting Development and Democracy, is available through my publisher Palgrave-Macmillan, at:

• https://link.springer.com/book/10.1007/978-3-030-96049-0

Please feel free to share this post with a friend or colleague. If you would like to be included in my (always free) distribution list, I welcome the opportunity to include you:

Pledge your support

Thank you, as always, for your interest in my work and the opportunity to continue in touch through this medium.

Respectfully,

R. Evan Ellis, PhD

Latin America Research Professor

U.S. Army War College Strategic Studies Institute

@REvanEllis

Website: https://revanellis.com

Linked In: linkedin.com/in/robert-evan-ellis-19a07975