06/21 Closing Prices / revised 06/21/2024 21:59 GMT |    06/20 OPEC Basket   $85.68  +$0.14 cents 06/21 Mexico Basket (MME)  $76.19  -$0.28  cents | 05/31 Venezuela Basket (Merey)  $70 45   -$4.36 cents | 06/21 NYMEX WTI Texas Intermediate July CLN24 $80.73  -$0.56 cents  | 06/21 ICE Brent August  BRNQ24 $85.24  -$0.47 cents  | 06/21 NYMEX Gasoline July RBN24 $2.51  +0.5%  |  06/21 NYMEX  Heating Oil July  RBN 24   $2.49  -1.3% | 06/21 Natural Gas July NGN24  $2.71   -1.3%  | 06/21 Active U.S. Rig Count (Oil & Gas)   588  -2  | 06/21 USD/MXN Mexican Peso   18.1130 (data live)  | 06/21 EUR/USD   1.0693  (data live)  | 06/25 US/Bs. (Bolivar)   $36.37250000 (data BCV)

Latin America Risk Report: Mexico-The PRI may lose Edomex (May 30, 2023)

According to El Financiero, Morena candidate Delfina Gómez has a 14 point advantage in the gubernatorial election scheduled for this upcoming Sunday. PRI candidate Alejandra del Moral has a 47% disapproval rating, making it quite hard to win in a two-way race. The loss of Estado de Mexico would be a huge blow to the PRI and would harm the party’s ability to use state government resources to mobilize for next year’s presidential elections.

Peru – More people disapprove of the handling of the protests

The monthly IEP poll shows that Peruvian views of the abuses that occurred during the protest wave in December and January have worsened after the protests quieted down.

That is an interesting contrast to Chile. During the 2019 protests, polling showed Chileans strongly disapproved of police abuses of protesters. But after the protests died down, the polling shifted towards a more favorable view of the police. In Peru, the opposite appears to be true, with more people critical of the security forces in the months after the protests died down.

If Peruvians are disapproving of their security forces in larger numbers and the reporting of the abuses has made them more critical, it will make government efforts to control future protests more difficult.

Chile – Constitutional disapproval up; presidential approval always down

Just a few weeks after electing a new constitutional assembly, Cadem reports that 46% of Chileans say they plan to reject a new constitution in December while 34% say they will vote in favor. 20% say they are undecided, which seems reasonable being that the new constitutional draft isn’t written yet.

Boric’s approval rating is at 31%, which really hasn’t changed much in recent months. For some context, below is a graph from Cadem that captures the long view. Chilean presidents collectively have spent about nine of the last ten years in net negative approval.

By Boz and Lucy Hale

MAY 30, 2023

Share this news

Support EnergiesNet.com

By Elio Ohep · Launched in 1999 under Petroleumworld.com

Information & News on Latin America’s Energy, Oil, Gas, Renewables, Climate, Technology, Politics and Social issues

Contact : editor@petroleuworld.com

CopyRight©1999-2021, EnergiesNet.com™  / Elio Ohep – All rights reserved

This site is a public free site and it contains copyrighted material the use of which has not always been specifically authorized by the copyright owner.We are making such material available in our efforts to advance understanding of business, environmental, political, human rights, economic, democracy, scientific, and social justice issues, etc. We believe this constitutes a ‘fair use’ of any such copyrighted material as provided for in section 107 of the US Copyright Law. In accordance with Title 17 U.S.C. Section 107, the material on this site is distributed without profit to those who have chosen to view the included information for research, information, and educational purposes. For more information go to: http://www.law.cornell.edu/uscode/17/107.shtml. If you wish to use copyrighted material from this site for purposes of your own that go beyond ‘fair use’, you must obtain permission fromPetroleumworld or the copyright owner of the material.

Scroll to Top